The Spectator’s Daniel McCarthy is predicting the death of the Democratic party. I’m not so sure. Excerpt:
The Democratic party is dying. That may be hard to believe since Democrats control both houses of Congress and won the last presidential election with a record 81 million votes. But the exiguous margins of their hold on the House and Senate, with fewer than 51 percent of the seats in either chamber, tell another story, as does the desperation of their struggle to abolish the filibuster and federalize election law.
Those policy aims are of a piece with dreams of packing the Supreme Court — and packing the Senate too, by admitting tiny Democratic bastions as new states. The left wing of the party even assails the constitutional principle behind the Senate itself, the idea of equal representation of the states.
Simply put, Democrats know they can no longer win by the old agreed-upon rules, constitutional or otherwise. As recently as the Obama years, they were content with a system of 50 states represented by two senators each — because the party still had a wide enough base of support to win the Senate with an outright majority. They had taken control after 2006, amid the wreckage of George W. Bush’s forever wars, and kept it until 2013. Barack Obama’s coattails in 2008 were strong enough for him take off with 57 Democrats in the Senate and a majority of nearly 80 seats in the House.
Joe Biden had no coattails in 2020, even though he won 12 million more votes that Obama did in 2008. The 81 million who voted for him — or against Donald Trump — didn’t give Democrats a majority in the Senate, and Republicans actually made gains in the House. Do Puerto Rico or Washington DC have a better case for statehood today than they had in 2009? What changed? Nothing about PR or DC, but everything for the Democrats.
The party is dying because it has a demographic problem. Long after the culturally revolutionary New Left had carved its way into what was once a working-class party, bringing not only acid, amnesty and abortion but yuppie economics and new strains of identity politics, voters in what are now red states could still feel a connection to the party of FDR or JFK.
It’s important to remember that, as recently as 2008, pundits were speculating about the death of the GOP, which is currently restructuring itself into a populist, America-first platform. That’s what parties do – when they take an ass-whuppin’, as I suspect the Dems are setting themselves up for in 2022, they generally adjust some.
It’s entirely possible, though, that the national Democratic party has wandered too far afield to easily return to the mainstream – and no, court-packing, open borders, abolishing police, winking at leftist riots and perpetual plague lock-downs are not mainstream ideas.
There are still a few purported Democratic moderates – Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema come to mind. And it’s telling how leftists savagely turn on them when they do not toe the leftist party line. And, unless that savagery changes, it’s likely that moderate Democrats both in office and among the voters will begin to wonder why they continue to support a party that continually demonizes them. That could consign the Democrats to being only the party of the far left and the major urban centers – a position of permanent minority.
And the thing is this: The current Democrat Congressional leadership, staffed as it is with geriatric leftovers from a bygone age, seems unwilling or unable to change course.
Yes, the national Democratic party may be able to tack back to recapture some of the ground they’ve lost. But they’ll have to ditch Queen Nancy and Chuck Schumer (Sanctimonious Prick – NY) first.