Animal’s Hump Day News

Happy Hump Day!
Happy Hump Day!

From Steve Forbes:  Will Iran Attempt To Seize Control Of Saudi Oilfields?  Excerpt:

In 1976 an investment banker turned adventure novelist, Paul Erdman, penned a best-selling thriller, The Crash of ’79. Center to the plot was the Shah of Iran making a grab for the oilfields of the Arab Middle East, with a well-armed military, thanks to rising oil prices. Of course, barely 24 months later the Shah was ousted by radical Islamists, who subsequently bled the country white in a bloody and futile eight-year war with Iraq. Oil prices crashed after Ronald Reagan took office, and all thoughts of an Iranian version of a Nazi blitzkrieg disappeared.

Well, if Erdman were still alive (he died in 2007), he could write a very plausible updated version of his novel, with—very frighteningly—the all too likely possibility that this time fiction would turn into fact.

Iran doesn’t possess a passel of Panzer divisions and have a murderous Luftwaffe at its disposal. But it now has the means to make a play for control of the immense oilfields of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and, all too obviously, Iraq, where its proxy militias are gaining strength. Militias under Iranian control can achieve Teheran’s imperial goals almost as well as WWII-style armed forces.

Out on a limb.
Out on a limb.

It occurs to one that the nutbar regime in Tehran may have exactly that in mind, and it also occurs to one that the leadership gap from our Imperial City may be encouraging them.  With their proxy militias taking control of Yemen to the south, and Iran’s own Republican Guards to the northeast – not to mention Iran-allied militias in Iraq and Syria – Iran has the Saudis neatly boxed, their “T” precisely crossed, to use a nautical term that nobody much in that part of the world would understand.

The question is this:  What will America do?

The Iranians are betting on the answer being “not much.”  And, given the experiences of the last few years, they are probably justified in thinking so.  And those are the kinds of calculations of which world wars are made.