The Donald’s new campaign manager thinks the polls showing him losing badly to Her Imperial Majesty are all wrong. Excerpt:
Kellyanne Conway, a pollster herself when she’s not running campaigns, told UK’s Channel 4 that Clinton’s lead is due to “cherry-picked polling numbers that are put out there by media outlets that are also bent on his destruction.” But — “Donald Trump performs consistently better in online polling where a human being is not talking to another human being about what he or she may do in the election.”
She added, “It’s because it’s become socially desirable, if you’re a college educated person in the United States of America, to say that you’re against Donald Trump.” That has led to what Conway calls the “undercover” or “hidden” Trump vote. “The hidden Trump vote in this country is a very significant proposition,” she insisted.
“Have you been able to put a number on that?” the interviewer asked.
“Yes,” Conway confidently replied.
“What do you think that is?”
“I can’t discuss it,” she answered. “It’s a project we’re doing internally. I call it the undercover Trump voter, but it’s real.”
Color me skeptical.
The RCP poll averages today have The Donald trailing Her Highness by five and a half points. The Dowager Empress is leading him in Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio – Trump has to win at minimum two of those states, or we’ll be seeing Her Highness walk into the Imperial Mansion in January.
Kellyanne Conway’s statement sounds suspiciously like whistling past the graveyard.
But what if she’s right? Trump is a candidate unlike any other in recent history; he’s brash, he’s boorish, he’s outspoken, and he frequently wanders off script. He’s also running a 1970’s style TV campaign in the age of the Internet, despite his obsessive use of Twitter, and Her Imperial Majesty is playing to her strengths – such as they are – and minimizing her weaknesses by avoiding any venue where she may be asked any questions.
Look for the polls to stay pretty close to current levels until the debates. If The Donald can rip her up in the debates, he stands a chance of tipping things in his favor. If not…
…Look for two, maybe three liberal Supreme Court appointments in the next few years. That, True Believers, is most assuredly not a Good Thing.