Rule Five Civil War Friday

Yesterday’s post on the Antifa fascists and their “non-violent” resistance  got me to thinking.

There’s been a fair amount of talk lately about the modern American political climate.  I have to agree with the seeming consensus that American politics has become increasingly divisive.  Groups of activists are taking to the streets, and the protests are increasingly violent.

From 1861 to 1865, this nation fought a war between the States.  Are we heading in that direction again?  We may be, but it won’t be like the 1861-1865 war; not even a little bit.  Why?

Here’s the catch; any 21st century American civil war won’t resemble the 1861-1865 war at all. And not just for technological reasons.

The 1861-1865 war wasn’t really a civil war.  It did not involve two factions fighting for control of one nation, as did the two Roman civil wars of the late Republic, or the English civil war. Our war was a war of secession, where one part of the nation tried to break away and form a new country.  The Confederacy did not succeed in creating that new nation, and it’s probably for the best they did not.  There would likely have never been an overwhelming American superpower if the U.S. had broken up in the 1860s.

Our war between the states was also a war with clear geographic boundaries, North against South (mostly, the West was a little confused) and mostly fought by established armies in the martial traditions of the time. The tensions of that conflict are still felt today.

Any second conflict will be a true civil war. There will be few geographic boundaries, other than urban v. rural. This will be a conflict that doesn’t involve the military so much as gangs of irregulars; imagine Charlottesville if both sides had come armed and willing to open fire.

And second civil war will be fought amongst us.  It won’t be fought on open battlefields; it will be fought in our city streets, in the suburbs, on the roads and byways of our nation.

Imagine pitched battles on the streets of our major cities, what is left of established authority against rioting mobs.  Imagine those mobs engaging in raids into the suburbs when the cities run short of food and water. Imagine a complete breakdown of emergency services in those cities as first responders encounter armed gangs willing to kill them for their vehicles, equipment, and medicines. Imagine hordes of refugees fleeing the cities, into the countryside, under the misapprehension that somehow there is plenty of food to be had in the countryside, but having no skills whatsoever to find or grow said food. Imagine rural residents facing rampant theft and trespassing responding by forming their own armed militias to repel the invaders, and thus escalate the conflict into the countryside.

The situation will likely escalate, atrocity breeding atrocity.  Just read some of the rhetoric on Twitter and Facebook – two essentially content-free forums catering in large part to the lowest common denominator –  and imagine the fevered rhetoric therein translated to action.

There are only two ways any government could respond to this crisis:

  • Impose martial law and restore order by force. Such force would have to be overwhelming, brutal and merciless. Bear in mind that this option is likely to fail, as a significant portion of our military would likely refuse to exercise brutality on their fellow citizens.
  • Respond weakly and fecklessly, as when Jefferson Davis pleaded with an angry, starving mob in Richmond in 1864, finally turning out his pockets to toss a few coins into the crown. Such a response would be worse than doing nothing at all.

In either case, the United States as we knew it ends at that point.

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  • Andrew Pearce

    The isolation of half a dozen or so key cities would end such a war very quickly. Bridges and highways blown or blocked; nothing gets in or out. Cut their power and communication grids for 3 weeks and see who is left afterwards. Almost all urban centers get their water from the countryside, which means great big pipes, and those pipes have valves and pumping stations.

    Sure, local suburban and some rural tensions would be high. But those places would have food and normality as the conflict went on. One or five flair-ups, with those areas then being cut off and isolated, would put the word out really fast: work it out peacefully.

    120 days, tops. Under 100,000 combat fatalities. And the United States as we now know it would cease to exist, because the far left and the race baiters and the left wing MSM would be drastically diminished or eliminated. Might have to go around and purge a few hundred colleges though.I’d volunteer.

    • Maybe. Isolating, say, Los Angeles or Chicago wouldn’t be easy; too many land routes where a small band could sneak out.

      If this does ever happen, hopefully it won’t be until well after Mrs. Animal and I are safely ensconced in Alaska.

  • bkhuna

    A couple of thousand leftist radicals either holding their stolen guns upside with one hand while clutching their baggy assed pants with other or twinks waving their dreamcatchers in the air while trying to figure out which bathroom to use doesn’t scare me.

    • You’re sure right on the gun handling. Did you see the video of some leftist “militia” on a firing range? Worst gun handling you ever saw.

      • Matthew W

        Please !!! post a link of that video. Would love to see that.