Goodbye, Blue Monday

Goodbye, Blue Monday!

Thanks again to Pirate’s Cove and The Other McCain for the Rule Five links!

Amazingly, (or perhaps not) murders in the United States are highly concentrated in a few locations; mostly urban.  Excerpt:

The United States can really be divided up into three types of places. Places where there are no murders, places where there are a few murders, and places where murders are very common.

In 2014, the most recent year that a county level breakdown is available, 54% of counties (with 11% of the population) have no murders.  69% of counties have no more than one murder, and about 20% of the population. These counties account for only 4% of all murders in the country.

The worst 1% of counties have 19% of the population and 37% of the murders. The worst 5% of counties contain 47% of the population and account for 68% of murders. As shown in figure 2, over half of murders occurred in only 2% of counties.

Here’s the primary map, reproduced from the linked article:

It doesn’t take a genius to note that many of the most murder-intensive counties are also those with strict gun control laws; look, for example, in southern California and the environs around Chicago.

Look also at the predominantly rural counties, where gun ownership is high but the murder rate is low.

My grandfather used to say “the kids that grow up along the river are never the ones that drown.”  Born in 1898, Grandpa was a man of a different era, but his wisdom here still applies.  When you are talking firearms, folks who live with and use them legitimately in their lives are not the ones committing crimes with firearms.  Criminals are, and they will continue to do so no matter what laws are passed – as witness the Godfather Rahm Emmanuel’s Chicago.

Not that this will stop the anti-gun Left from screeching for more useless gun control laws.  The mantra continues to be “if statism doesn’t work, we just need to statist harder!

Maybe, just maybe, instead of gun control, we could look at goon control?

  • alanstorm
  • Pingback: How about some thug control instead? - Watcher of Weasels()

  • Pingback: How about some thug control instead? – The Daley Gator()

  • Andrew Pearce

    In my county’s free weekly paper, the Crime Blotter column is pretty much folks getting busted for toasting a spliff in their car. Or some Mexi-type gets caught shoplifting. Once in a blue moon some ghetto types get busted with a junk van full of drugs, because my town is right by the highway between NYC and Easton PA, and we have an all-night gas station and a police department with all the tech gear and not much to do.

    Murders? Yeah, I think some restaurant owner got in trouble with the mob and had a hit on him. That was about 15 years ago. That’s it, pretty much, for decades.

    PS – we are a very Red State county, with a very high average income, and the place is pretty much lily white, except for a few upwardly mobile black families and the apartment complex where all the Mexican day laborers and fry cooks live.

    Most people would overlay your map with one of Democratic enclaves, and score a high correlation. But if you can face the hard truth, overlay your map with one of minority density. Sure, that will also be a Democratic controlled area, guaranteed, but the correlation will be even higher. There are plenty of Democrat heavy areas that are very low crime. But there are NO areas that are “heavily integrated” that are low crime. And the more, the more. Chicago, Detroit, Baltimore, East St. Louis, etc are easy examples, but the same thing happens in more rural areas that fit that demographic.

    • It would be interesting to see that map overlay. I’m always cautious, though, about correlation v. causation. I’m only guessing, here, but my background in Biology and cause analysis tells me that the cause here is cultural; specifically, the toxic urban “thug” culture that is so prevalent in our major cities, brought about by generations of victimhood culture and the breakdown of institutions.

      But I’m just guessing. There are lots of studies but very few of them establish cause, only correlation; including the one I cited here. (I should have mentioned that in the post, actually.)

      • Andrew Pearce

        I think it’s “legally” required by PC for everyone to wear special goggles that don’t let you see or ever mention the 500lb gorilla in the room.

        • Yeah, I must have left mine in the same place I left my white privilege.