There has been plenty of hyperventilating about some kind of coup ever since Donald Trump was elected President. None of it will amount to anything, which makes this two-part scenario a tad silly. Excerpt:
But how would one pull off a coup d’etat in the United States? Most of the political hacks had no idea, while the military experts understood the massive challenge. Some answers were obvious – in the Third World, the first thing the plotters take control of are the radio and TV stations and the newspapers. In America, the media was already in the bag. Hell, they would cheerlead a coup. But the actual seizure of power? That was more complicated.
“You just send in some soldiers and take over everything,” said the younger and, astonishingly, stupider California senator. “You know, with guns. How hard can this Army stuff be?”
Retired – actually, fired by Trump – General Leonard Smith, who had been promoted by Obama after failing to win in Iraq and Afghanistan, but who successfully spearheaded the transsexuals in foxholes initiative, tried to explain.
“Look, it’s a matter of numbers. We take all our land forces in CONUS…”
“What’s CONUS?” asked a former Clinton Deputy Assistant Undersecretary of Defense.
“The continental United States,” the general replied, annoyed. “We have maybe 45 brigade combat teams total available, counting everything active and reserve, Marine and Army. Less than one per state. And a city takes a brigade to control – at least. New York would take ten. And that’s assuming they were all loyal to us. There’s police and federal law enforcement too, but we also have 100 million armed Americans who might object.”
“Ridiculous,” sniffed the senator. “How can a bunch of citizens armed with their deer rifles stop a modern army?”
“Oh, I don’t know, Senator. Ask the Vietnamese. Or the Afghans. Look, we need speed and focus. Step one is to decapitate the government by eliminating the current leadership, via capture or … otherwise. Step two, take the the key control nodes before the administration can react. Step three, use the inertia of the military and law enforcement. We get them on our side – whether they know it or not – and keep them moving and following orders so they do not have time to reflect and react against us. But you need to understand and to go into this with your eyes open. If we do this, people will die. Are you ready for that?”
OK, here’s where this scenario falls apart: Our military and hell, much of our civil law enforcement, would never involve themselves in a violent overthrow of the United States government. For one thing, the oath our military members take is to the Constitution, not to any specific leader (not that this seems to have much effect on elected pols who take a similar oath). I’m damned certain the vast majority of the armed forces would repel, not aid, any such armed insurrection.
Here’s the second reason the scenario falls apart: The insurrection is formulated and executed by the political Left. You know – the people who don’t have all the guns. The author nods at that fact with the line quoted above about Vietnam and Afghanistan, but America’s legal gun-owning community is far better armed and better practiced than the denizens of either of those places.
Any such attempt at a coup would be brutal, short, and not to the benefit of the would-be rebels.