Last night loyal sidekick Rat and I were enjoying our last night in the annual elk hunt, and so were not able to follow the election results, but I was able to check in on the results this morning as we made our way back to Denver. My reaction:
HOLY CRAP, HE PULLED IT OFF!
Here are some key takeaways from this election and its stunning outcome:
- The pollsters were caught completely wrong-footed. So was I, if you read last Friday’s post. I saw one narrow Electoral College path for The Donald, and he expanded that by a bit – he took Pennsylvania, which I saw as a long shot, and Scott Walker delivered Wisconsin, which I didn’t see coming at all. Michigan and Arizona are still too close to call as of this writing, but Trump is ahead in both states.
- The Democratic Party’s swing to the left hasn’t helped them any. They have lost big swings of the heartland, particularly the old blue-collar Truman Democrats to which The Donald successfully focused his message.
- The Clintons will now (hopefully) finally be out of the American political picture. This is not a country that has or should have political dynasties; I said that when George W. Bush first ran (although I voted for him) and I said that when Jeb! ran last year. Enough is enough. We have finally seen the last of the Clinton peccadilloes. Speaking of which:
- The shenanigans pulled by the DNC to squeeze Bernie Sanders out of the race may have contributed more to Her Imperial Majesty’s loss than anyone thinks. I have a sample size of one by personal account, a left-leaning friend of loyal sidekick Rat’s who voted for Jill Stein out of disgust with the machinations of the DNC. The Dowager Empress didn’t get as big a share of the Millennial vote as expected, and it’s reasonable to think this is one of the reasons for that.
- The Supreme Court will not now shift sharply to the left. The Donald has already submitted his list of candidates, and most of them are ideologically aligned with the departed Antonin Scalia. The Court will now remain stable.
- Trump is a symptom of a larger issue; the American people in general are sick and tired of business-as-usual politics. We have put a loud, brash, rude New York businessman into the Imperial Mansion, a man who ran on a “drain the swamp” campaign. This reaction began in 2008 with the Tea Party, who asked nicely for changes (and whose purpose was co-opted by a number of other groups) and then The Donald and his supporters have demanded changes. If Trump can’t deliver, who knows what the next reaction will be?
I’ve been watching elections since 1976. I follow elections the way a lot of folks follow sports, and I only get a Super Bowl ever four years. In all candor I’m pretty good at calling election results, but this one blew me away. I honestly didn’t see The Donald winning. But win he has, the honestly gracious victory and concession speeches of both candidates are behind us.
Now, to see what The Donald does with this win. He has at least two years with a GOP-controlled House and Senate. He can take the ball and run with it.
It’s going to be an interesting time ahead.